5/1/2019
Son Of A Handy Guide to the Future
That was certainly one Handy
Guide, wasn’t it? This one is even handier, at least for
those who like more details.
Thanks to the late Larry Zuckerman’s meticulously-researched
book, Ballparks of the Pacific Coast League, we have loads
of PCL park data from the ’30’s/’40’s/’50’s. We don’t quite have complete
data, but we have a lot, and we will use whatever statistics are
available to us to attempt to re-create these ballparks and their
effects in OOTP.
In the first chart below I have taken the actual league totals
for the PCL for the years 1938-1957 and adjusted it to
approximately 154 games per year. “Approximately” because teams
didn’t all play the same number of games every year (rain outs
were often not made up) and “154 games” because that’s what we
play in the Redux (the real PCL wasn’t consistent in the amount of
games they scheduled, and sometimes teams played over 200 in a
season). This chart will give you an idea of what to expect in
upcoming seasons with regards to whether it was a big hitters’
year, or a big year for home runs, etc. A quick scan of the chart
will reveal that home runs rose and dropped dramatically
throughout these years. The totals are what I will set the LTMs
(League Totals Modifiers) in OOTP to achieve each season.
The other chart shows adjusted park factors for the years
1935-1953. These are the factors I will input into OOTP. They are
not the actual historical park factors for each individual
year; they are based on averages over a longer period. Each time a
team moved or the dimensions of one or more parks changed, all
the league’s park factors change (since a park’s factors, by
definition, are a comparison to the other parks in a league). If
nothing changed in any of the parks from one year to the next, the
factors stay the same until there was a change in one of the
parks. I believe that using averages from several seasons, rather
than implicitly trusting that a park’s actual effects on
statistics really changes radically from year to year, makes park
factors more accurate in cases when the parks have not been
altered.
Actual PCL season totals, adjusted to actual MLB season (approx.
154 games/team)
Yr |
AB |
H |
2B |
3B |
HR |
SB |
AVG. |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
1938 |
40569 |
11063 |
1918 |
380 |
498 |
460 |
.273 |
.333 |
.376 |
.708 |
1939 |
41152 |
11589 |
2006 |
442 |
500 |
520 |
.282 |
.339 |
.388 |
.728 |
1940 |
40881 |
11090 |
1775 |
349 |
426 |
535 |
.271 |
.335 |
.363 |
.698 |
1941 |
41241 |
11233 |
1946 |
425 |
420 |
692 |
.272 |
.334 |
.371 |
.705 |
1942 |
40131 |
10912 |
1689 |
357 |
370 |
553 |
.272 |
.329 |
.360 |
.688 |
1943 |
40291 |
10698 |
1656 |
327 |
290 |
637 |
.266 |
.324 |
.344 |
.669 |
1944 |
41101 |
10656 |
1725 |
316 |
242 |
822 |
.259 |
.326 |
.334 |
.660 |
1945 |
40811 |
11350 |
1948 |
326 |
271 |
819 |
.278 |
.349 |
.362 |
.710 |
1946 |
40549 |
10282 |
1645 |
318 |
402 |
723 |
.254 |
.321 |
.340 |
.660 |
1946 |
41805 |
11428 |
2051 |
383 |
689 |
611 |
.273 |
.341 |
.390 |
.732 |
1948 |
41127 |
11374 |
1996 |
257 |
822 |
526 |
.277 |
.347 |
.398 |
.744 |
1949 |
41002 |
11027 |
1881 |
237 |
838 |
542 |
.269 |
.343 |
.388 |
.731 |
1950 |
40945 |
10948 |
1808 |
253 |
876 |
480 |
.267 |
.343 |
.388 |
.731 |
1951 |
41182 |
10914 |
1788 |
284 |
913 |
378 |
.265 |
.341 |
.389 |
.729 |
1952 |
40763 |
10318 |
1648 |
289 |
635 |
481 |
.253 |
.322 |
.354 |
.676 |
1953 |
40848 |
10757 |
1752 |
253 |
812 |
344 |
.263 |
.332 |
.378 |
.710 |
1954 |
40354 |
10516 |
1718 |
232 |
722 |
517 |
.261 |
.333 |
.368 |
.702 |
1955 |
40259 |
10589 |
1696 |
204 |
776 |
421 |
.263 |
.326 |
.373 |
.699 |
1956 |
40911 |
11181 |
1766 |
312 |
939 |
456 |
.273 |
.340 |
.401 |
.740 |
1957 |
40439 |
10656 |
1686 |
259 |
833 |
375 |
.264 |
.331 |
.380 |
.711 |
Yearly PCL park factors (adjusted)
1935
|
AVG |
2B |
3B |
HR |
|
|
AVG |
2B |
3B |
HR |
Civic Field (SEA) |
.989 |
.987 |
1.159 |
1.701 |
|
Moreing Park (SAC) |
.984 |
.985 |
1.099 |
.755 |
Oaks Park (OAK) |
.947 |
.938 |
1.173 |
.432 |
|
Seals Stad. (SF/MSN) |
1.029 |
.963 |
1.302 |
.309 |
Vaughn St. Park (POR) |
1.000 |
1.058 |
.603 |
1.096 |
|
Wrigley Fld. (HWD/LA) |
1.009 |
1.051 |
.679 |
1.699 |
1936-1937
|
AVG |
2B |
3B |
HR |
|
|
AVG |
2B |
3B |
HR |
Civic Field (SEA) |
.992 |
1.009 |
1.071 |
1.974 |
|
Lane Field (SD) |
.993 |
.895 |
1.240 |
.730 |
Moreing Park (SAC) |
.987 |
1.008 |
1.016 |
.872 |
|
Oaks Park (OAK) |
.950 |
.959 |
1.084 |
.498 |
Seals Stad. (SF/MSN) |
1.032 |
.985 |
1.203 |
.356 |
|
Vaughn St. Park (POR) |
1.003 |
1.082 |
.557 |
1.265 |
Wrigley Fld. (HWD/LA) |
1.012 |
1.075 |
.628 |
1.961 |
1938
|
AVG |
2B |
3B |
HR |
|
|
AVG |
2B |
3B |
HR |
Lane Field (SD) |
.996 |
.891 |
1.355 |
.695 |
|
Moreing Park (SAC) |
.990 |
1.004 |
1.110 |
.830 |
Oaks Park (OAK) |
.953 |
.955 |
1.184 |
.474 |
|
Seals Stadium (SF) |
1.035 |
.981 |
1.315 |
.339 |
Sicks Stadium (SEA) |
.991 |
.949 |
1.055 |
.722 |
|
Vaughn St. Park (POR) |
1.006 |
1.078 |
.609 |
1.204 |
Wrigley Fld. (HWD/LA) |
1.016 |
1.071 |
.686 |
1.867 |
1939-1942
|
AVG |
2B |
3B |
HR |
|
|
AVG |
2B |
3B |
HR |
Gilmore Field (HWD) |
1.010 |
1.032 |
1.182 |
1.239 |
|
Lane Field (SD) |
.997 |
.896 |
1.263 |
.767 |
Moreing Park (SAC) |
.991 |
1.010 |
1.035 |
.915 |
|
Oaks Park (OAK) |
.954 |
.961 |
1.104 |
.523 |
Seals Stadium (SF) |
1.036 |
.987 |
1.226 |
.374 |
|
Sicks Stadium (SEA) |
.992 |
.954 |
.983 |
.796 |
Vaughn St. Park (POR) |
1.007 |
1.084 |
.568 |
1.328 |
|
Wrigley Field (LA) |
1.017 |
1.077 |
.639 |
2.059 |
1943-1944
|
AVG |
2B |
3B |
HR |
|
|
AVG |
2B |
3B |
HR |
Gilmore Field (HWD) |
1.012 |
1.027 |
1.217 |
1.184 |
|
Lane Field (SD) |
.999 |
.892 |
1.300 |
.733 |
Moreing Park (SAC) |
.993 |
1.005 |
1.065 |
.875 |
|
Oaks Park (OAK) |
.956 |
.956 |
1.136 |
.500 |
Seals Stadium (SF) |
1.018 |
1.015 |
1.028 |
.709 |
|
Sicks Stadium (SEA) |
.994 |
.950 |
1.012 |
.761 |
Vaughn St. Park (POR) |
1.009 |
1.079 |
.585 |
1.270 |
|
Wrigley Field (LA) |
1.019 |
1.072 |
.658 |
1.968 |
1945
|
AVG |
2B |
3B |
HR |
|
|
AVG |
2B |
3B |
HR |
Gilmore Field (HWD) |
1.011 |
1.020 |
1.256 |
1.100 |
|
Lane Field (SD) |
1.004 |
.947 |
1.085 |
1.246 |
Moreing Park (SAC) |
.992 |
.998 |
1.099 |
.813 |
|
Oaks Park (OAK) |
.955 |
.950 |
1.173 |
.464 |
Seals Stadium (SF) |
1.017 |
1.008 |
1.061 |
.658 |
|
Sicks Stadium (SEA) |
.993 |
.943 |
1.044 |
.707 |
Vaughn St. Park (POR) |
1.008 |
1.072 |
.603 |
1.179 |
|
Wrigley Field (LA) |
1.018 |
1.065 |
.679 |
1.828 |
1946-1953
|
AVG |
2B |
3B |
HR |
|
|
AVG |
2B |
3B |
HR |
Gilmore Field (HWD) |
1.004 |
1.002 |
1.307 |
.993 |
|
Lane Field (SD) |
.997 |
.930 |
1.129 |
1.125 |
Moreing Park (SAC) |
.985 |
.980 |
1.144 |
.733 |
|
Oaks Park (OAK) |
1.009 |
1.069 |
.896 |
1.206 |
Seals Stadium (SF) |
1.009 |
.990 |
1.104 |
.594 |
|
Sicks Stadium (SEA) |
.986 |
.927 |
1.087 |
.638 |
Vaughn St. Park (POR) |
1.001 |
1.053 |
.628 |
1.064 |
|
Wrigley Field (LA) |
1.010 |
1.046 |
.707 |
1.650 |
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